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World financial and economic crisis

Lessons 35 · 1 lessons · E. Sariqov, B. Xaydarov. Fundamentals of Economic Knowledge (Economics), Grade 9, 4th edition. “Huquq va Jamiyat” publishing house, Tashkent, 2019
35

The world financial and economic crisis

Textbook: pp. 150–153
GoalKnow the causes, spread and consequences of the world financial and economic crisis that began in 2007–2008; compare it with the Great Depression; explain its effect on Uzbekistan’s economy and ways of protection against crises.
New words
economic crisis · iqtisodiy inqirozmortgage loan · ipoteka kreditibankruptcy · bankrotlikGreat Depression · Buyuk depressiya
Explanation

Market economies have crises from time to time; if they pass to other countries, a world crisis arises. In 2007–2008 a crisis began in the mortgage loan system of the USA: for many years banks had given housing loans even to people with little ability to repay, a large share of debts was not returned, and banks became unable to pay and some went bankrupt. When banks stopped lending, firms cut production, unemployment rose, and output and world trade fell; because countries’ economies are linked, the trouble spread to Europe, Japan and other countries. The crisis is compared only with the Great Depression of the 1930s: then production in the USA fell sharply and unemployment reached about a quarter of the labour force, and prices did not rise but fell — this was deflation: in 1929–1933 prices in the USA dropped by about a quarter (the book says prices rose, which is wrong). Uzbekistan’s economy at that time was little connected to the world financial market and foreign investment was small, so it stayed somewhat aside, but the prices of exported cotton, metals and other goods fell and profits decreased. In later years the economy opened up and ties with the world widened; this gives opportunities but external risks also grow, so making the economy diverse, competitive and resilient to crises is important.

Worked examples
A bank gave 1 000 housing loans of 200 mln so‘m each; in total 1 000 · 200 = 200 000 mln so‘m. If 15% of the borrowers cannot repay, the loss is 200 000 · 15 : 100 = 30 000 mln so‘m. The bank loses that much and becomes afraid to give new loans.
A country’s GDP is 1 000 bn so‘m (conditional); in the crisis it fell 3%: 1 000 − 1 000 · 3 : 100 = 970 bn so‘m. If the labour force is 150 million and unemployment rises from 5% to 9%, the additional unemployed are 150 · 4 : 100 = 6 million people.
Class activity

“Crisis chain”. The class builds a chain from cards: unpaid loans — weak banks — no lending — production cuts — unemployment — falling demand — a fall in world trade. Each link is explained in students’ own words.

Practice
1
Where and how did the world crisis begin?
2
A bank gave 500 loans of 100 mln so‘m each. If 10% are not repaid, what is the loss in mln so‘m?
3
GDP is 2 000 bn so‘m and fell 4%. What is the new GDP in bn so‘m?
4
Why does a bank crisis in one country spread to other countries?