☰ Contents · Economics

Inflation and its types

Lessons 26 · 1 lessons · E. Sariqov, B. Xaydarov. Fundamentals of Economic Knowledge (Economics), Grade 9, 4th edition. “Huquq va Jamiyat” publishing house, Tashkent, 2019
26

Inflation and its types

Textbook: pp. 114–117
GoalKnow money mass, velocity of money and the Fisher equation, inflation, deflation, the consumer price index and the consumption basket; calculate price change.
New words
inflation · inflatsiyamoney mass · pul massasiconsumer price index · iste’mol narxlari indeksiconsumption basket · iste’mol savati
Explanation

Money mass (M) is the sum of all money in circulation and velocity of money (V) is how many times money passes from hand to hand in a year. M · V gives the value of goods and services bought in a country in a year, and from the other side it equals P · Q, where P is the average price and Q the quantity of goods and services: M · V = P · Q (the Fisher equation, the law of money circulation). Q cannot grow instantly, so if the volume of goods is unchanged, a rise in money mass leads to higher prices. A steady rise in average prices is inflation and a steady fall is deflation; under inflation the purchasing power, that is, the value of money, falls. Causes: more money in circulation than the value of goods (demand exceeds supply) or rising costs of resources and wages that push up production cost. To measure inflation, a consumption basket is used — an unchanging set of goods and services that an ordinary family buys all the time; consumer price index I = current value of the basket : base value. Hyperinflation is extremely fast price growth: economists usually call it hyperinflation when prices rise by more than 50% a month (that means more than 100-fold a year).

Worked examples
M = 200 bn so‘m, V = 4, Q = 100 million units (conditional). P = M · V : Q = 200 · 4 : 100 = 8 price units. If money mass rises to 250 while V and Q stay unchanged, P = 250 · 4 : 100 = 10, that is, the price rises 25%.
A family’s consumption basket cost 2 000 000 so‘m last year, and the same set costs 2 300 000 so‘m this year. Index = 2 300 000 : 2 000 000 · 100 = 115%, so the inflation rate is 115 − 100 = 15%.
Class activity

“Family inflation”. Each student makes up a basket of 8–10 everyday goods for their family (finding prices with adults). Comparing last year’s and today’s prices (or conditional prices given by the teacher), they calculate the basket index.

Practice
1
What do the letters M, V, P, Q in the Fisher equation mean?
2
M = 300, V = 6, Q = 90. Find P from the Fisher equation.
3
The basket cost 1 600 000 in the base year and 1 840 000 so‘m this year. What is the consumer price index in per cent?
4
Why does a rise in money mass raise prices when the volume of goods does not change?