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Approximate calculations and modelling

Lessons 10–11 · 2 lessons · M. A. Mirzaahmedov, Sh. N. Ismailov, A. Q. Amanov (algebra and analysis), B. Q. Haydarov (geometry). Mathematics Grade 11, Parts 1 and 2, 1st edition. ZAMIN NASHR, Tashkent, 2018
11

Modelling with the derivative

Textbook, Part 1: pp. 62–72
GoalModel processes whose rate of change is proportional to the quantity itself (growth, decay, cooling) with the differential equation y′ = ky.
New words
differential equation · differensial tenglamainitial condition · boshlang‘ich sharthalf-life · yarim yemirilish davriproportionality coefficient · proporsionallik koeffitsiyenti
Explanation

An equation containing a derivative is a differential equation; its solution is a function that turns it into a true equality. If the rate of change of a process is proportional to the quantity itself (growth of bacteria, radioactive decay), we get y′ = ky, with solution y = y₀eᵏᵗ, where y₀ = y(0) is the initial condition. For k > 0 there is growth, for k < 0 decay; with half-life T we can write y = y₀ · 2^(−t/T). In cooling, the rate of change of a body’s temperature is proportional to the difference between body and surroundings: T′ = −k(T − T_env), with solution T = T_env + Ce^(−kt) (k > 0). To build a model, rewrite the condition as “rate ∝ amount”, find the proportionality coefficient from one data point, and then compute the value at the requested time. A model is an idealisation: if resources are limited, growth does not stay exponential.

Worked examples
The number of bacteria obeys N′ = kN with N(0) = 500 and doubles every 3 hours. N(t) = 500 · 2^(t/3). After 9 hours N(9) = 500 · 2³ = 4000. Check: N = 500e^(kt), e^(3k) = 2 ⇒ k = (ln 2)/3 ≈ 0.23 h⁻¹.
The function y = 3e^(2t) satisfies y′ = 2y: y′ = 3 · 2e^(2t) = 6e^(2t) = 2y. Radioactive substance: mass 80 g, half-life 5 days; after 15 days m = 80 · 2^(−15/5) = 80/8 = 10 g.
Class activity

“Is the model true?”: groups discuss the “bacteria grow exponentially” model: how many would there be after 24 hours? They list reasons why this is unrealistic (food, space) and say where the model does work.

Practice
1
Check that y = 5e^(3t) satisfies y′ = 3y.
2
Suppose a population of 2000 doubles every 4 years. What is the predicted number after 12 years?
3
A 160 mg sample has a half-life of 6 hours. How many mg remain after 18 hours?
4
Why does a process whose rate is proportional to the quantity grow exponentially rather than linearly?